Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

17 gen 2021
3 165 893 visualizzazioni

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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of ITworlds centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

  • lol it was put on the ITworlds trending tab

    BdogzippyBdogzippy2 ore fa
  • Matpat woke up and chose deceit and trickery

    big spirit naebig spirit nae2 ore fa
  • Forever greatful for your knowledge oh Almighty one 🙌

    Ashan TrisheildAshan Trisheild2 ore fa

    Joshua HatfieldJoshua Hatfield2 ore fa
    • Cringe

      ITZ BryanITZ Bryan2 ore fa
  • 1 in 300,000,000 chance I like those odds

    Johan MeyerJohan Meyer2 ore fa
  • Number 2 on trending

  • 9:55 he knows.

    Wiell NyanWiell Nyan2 ore fa
  • ...

    DreamDream2 ore fa

    Nikama Mini KitchenNikama Mini Kitchen2 ore fa
  • Short Answer: He doesn't answer the question.

    MJ907MJ9072 ore fa
  • 9:54 whos here when its 1st on trending?

    Yoda Lover06Yoda Lover062 ore fa
  • 9:55 That aged well.

    Link From ZeldaLink From Zelda2 ore fa
  • 11:39 jake peralta?

    Mateo GuerreroMateo Guerrero2 ore fa
  • What if Matt was the secret scientist dream hired

    Emanuel XiquinEmanuel Xiquin2 ore fa
  • Why does nobody talk about mrbeast buying everything in the background 👀 0:11

    Gamerzero2000Gamerzero20002 ore fa
  • 60+

    Priam ZhunepluasPriam Zhunepluas2 ore fa

    Prottoy RoyProttoy Roy2 ore fa
  • In the video he joked about the people on the trending list.... and look where he is now!😂

    Dieter UmholtzDieter Umholtz2 ore fa
  • Lemme just say that 50/50 percent of the coin rate is wrong

    topgaminplaystopgaminplays2 ore fa
  • "Watch, this video's going to get on the trending tab.." *#1 On Trending*

    cadencorecadencore2 ore fa
  • Don’t even watch this video, there is no answer, just watch Karl jobst’s analysis, it is infinitely better

    Fish StickerFish Sticker2 ore fa
  • What about this

    DynamicDynamic2 ore fa
  • Us: so did he cheat? Matpat: here are some facts Us: so..? Matpat: idk but imma keep talking :D

    what happenedwhat happened2 ore fa
  • vid: dream cheated matpat: flip a coin 1000 times so we can see the problem here

    Orville JavaOrville Java2 ore fa
  • 🇮🇳Watching on the India🇮🇳

    enjoying 365 day'senjoying 365 day's2 ore fa
  • i’m here because of the trending tab haha

    艾丽马艾丽马2 ore fa
  • He didn't give an answer because Dream is his friend. It's not that hard to figure out that Dream was blatantly cheating.

    RSGRSG2 ore fa
  • 9:55 LOL its #2 on trending

    PantheonPantheon2 ore fa
  • Racketeering not trending

    Bruce WayneBruce Wayne2 ore fa
  • Us:did dream cheat Matpat:find out next time on dragon ball z

    im just guyim just guy2 ore fa
  • The man collabed with him for a video fairly recently; did we really expect him to say anything super incriminating in this one?

    Lord BroccoliLord Broccoli2 ore fa
  • i teabagged a drowned that hasn't despawned in a very long time went to the nether and got pearls on my 3rd gold ingot

    solaxsolax2 ore fa
  • 8:08 Yes, gacha players would kill for SSRs rate up that high

    MellamoSteveMellamoSteve2 ore fa
  • Hi I'm a fan

    Jade SalvesonJade Salveson2 ore fa
  • You put /spawn ender_perl 8 but ther were 9 (p.s. I can't spell )

    Mike AftonMike Afton2 ore fa
  • 7 and 10

    Daniel gaiDaniel gai2 ore fa
  • My sanity is losing because of "these"

    Robert andrei BagasbasRobert andrei Bagasbas2 ore fa
  • MatPat, there is a new SUPERHOT game.. it’s not over..

    BustaBackerBustaBacker2 ore fa
  • He did

    Fluted ScissorsFluted Scissors2 ore fa
  • Call this mediocre because it's #2 on trending

    Liam HutflesLiam Hutfles2 ore fa
  • gosh, i didn't think there would be anything more controversial and toxic than kpop stans. this comment section changed my mind

    Emi HarithEmi Harith2 ore fa
  • Look at all these people commenting completely missing the point

    EradudEradud2 ore fa
  • I did I faked it

    • Um who are u

      Shrestha PandeyShrestha Pandey2 ore fa
  • You should do a theory about fetch or something I dont know

    black death velociraptorblack death velociraptor2 ore fa
  • Came back to see if it would end up in trending, TF

    Maybe Its not AlexMaybe Its not Alex2 ore fa
  • Can we get dream in the comment section

    Deep PatelDeep Patel2 ore fa
  • *sigh*...

    Grim FlarezGrim Flarez3 ore fa
  • What if they speedrun in just one seed?

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    • That already exist and requires a lot more rng

      HiHi2 ore fa
  • Can you please make a video about brawl stars

    Yurem SantillanYurem Santillan3 ore fa
  • Hey matpat Ive been diving back into your old vids for nostalgia and I realised in your theory with The Jwittz about Pokémon are humans I noticed a wee tune you played at the skit you did and noticed it was from Rayman I loved these games when I was a kid would there be a theory you could do for Rayman (maybe something like why does Rayman have a floating abdomen and arms and legs?)

    DangerDarkrai22DangerDarkrai223 ore fa
  • Nobody mr beast buying everything in the store in the back ground

    That one MicrowaveThat one Microwave3 ore fa
  • “Watch this episode is gonna wind up on the ITworlds trending tab” Me: cHeAtEr!!

    Kaylee DillKaylee Dill3 ore fa
  • Number 2 on tending

    Levi McNabbLevi McNabb3 ore fa
  • I need boyfriend 🙊👊🏽

    Monique PozziMonique Pozzi3 ore fa
  • Yeah, this video wasn't worth it. You should have taken the L.

    archofthedarkarchofthedark3 ore fa
  • its number one on the ITworlds trending tab...

    Joey DiiJoey Dii3 ore fa
  • Mat: We should have minecraft speedruns where multiple players compete in the same world Manhunt: “Am I a joke to you?”

    Train_TimeTrain_Time3 ore fa
  • "Those who cannot acknowledge themselves, will eventually fail." - Itachi Uchiha 😞

    ItzMaloItzMalo3 ore fa
  • I think you are just jealous of dreams skills

    Coby McIntoshCoby McIntosh3 ore fa
  • Dream atmitted cheating also, who cares.

    zerg113zerg1133 ore fa
    • @what happened so I am assuming that your saying the bit where the astrophysicist say that the only reasonable thing is to assume that he cheated, that not dream saying he cheated that’s the astrophysicist saying he cheated.

      HiHi2 ore fa
    • @Hi at the very end of the astrophysicist's report

      what happenedwhat happened2 ore fa
    • Where

      HiHi2 ore fa
  • I like the Idea of a tournament. Maybe Dream can even start a series like that. Maybe against all of his friends to see who is the fastest.

    Cristian MartinezCristian Martinez3 ore fa
  • Thank you comments for letting me know this was a waste of time before i watched. Now i dont have to watch it. Ballance is restored

    Prince DarwinPrince Darwin3 ore fa
  • Wow! This channel has been going downhill real fast for a while BUT THIS is the tipping point for me. MatPat has finally hit the point of no return of shitty, clickbaity nonsense which he knows nothing about.

    Magma Hot DesignsMagma Hot Designs3 ore fa
  • Bro I legit was confused when I watched the video and there was no answer like I thought I missed something.

    Joshua ZhaoJoshua Zhao3 ore fa
  • I’m not a math expert, but dream had no reason to cheat, he’s done tons of runs and there was GOING to be a sus run at some point, for anyone doing the run. So I believe dream

    Daniel ValentinDaniel Valentin3 ore fa
    • It was 6 runs not one

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  • So did he cheated or not.

    Anupam ChaudhariAnupam Chaudhari3 ore fa
  • MFW I found this on my trending tab...

    Slim BadgerSlim Badger3 ore fa
  • I thought this drama was ended already

    MrDNRMrDNR3 ore fa

    Don GordoDon Gordo3 ore fa
  • Isn't this the guy that plagiarized a legal eagle episode? Same thing here? Just wait until everyone else has made their video, then just do that? Edit: Skip to 4:45 if you dont want to listen to 4 minutes and 45 seconds of this guy talking about himself.

    Zachry DiehlZachry Diehl3 ore fa
  • Everyone: WhAt’S ThE AnSWeR?!?11 *Me knowing this was the answer:* B)

    SterWasWeirdSterWasWeird3 ore fa
  • God you’re a pathetic ITworlds channel I missed the old game theory channel not this hungry deprived clickbait for viral stuff if a garbage can went viral you’d made a video on it and it’s just sad

    deathk1ller100deathk1ller1003 ore fa
  • 11:38 and Why is Jake Peralta There?

    Veron Alejandre ParaynoVeron Alejandre Parayno3 ore fa
  • I can already hear the dream stans screaming

    Kirbo PlayzKirbo Playz3 ore fa
  • did dream cheat? matpat: he's pretty popular so lemme just suggest speedrun races which are already popular and completely ignore the title of the video

    The Doge RegularThe Doge Regular3 ore fa
  • The thing that seems suspicious to me is that out of all people who could have ended up in this situation, Dream, a professional, Minecraft speed runner did.

    Ghostlyboy PlayzGhostlyboy Playz3 ore fa
  • Hahah he is #2trending he predicted that XD

    Kittycat KimmyKittycat Kimmy3 ore fa
  • You didn't even give an answer over fear of angering fanbases. What is the point of this video other than to get clicks by name-dropping Dream? Either he cheated or he didn't, but dancing around the subject and then questioning Minecraft speedrunning in general isn't getting anyone anywhere. Be better

    Johnny PopracJohnny Poprac3 ore fa
    • @Noah The channel name, Game Theory, implies that each video would give an actually theory around what is going on. In the video he gives the statistics, but at the end he avoids a final theory on whether or not Dream cheated. He just says that no one really knows. He never truly analyzes what either side is saying and he never really answers the question in the title. There was no final theory or verdict, therefore, he "danced" around the answer. A theory doesn't have to be right, but it should have a complete conclusion one way or another. Saying "who knows really" isn't an answer, it's a cop out.

      Johnny PopracJohnny Poprac2 ore fa
    • He didn't dance around the answer. The only person who knows the absolute answer is Dream, and he isn't Dream. You are the one who needs to be better, not The Game Theorists.

      NoahNoah2 ore fa
  • I think a great way to prove that your speed running on live stream without a custom seed is to have the first super chat pick 3 numbers for the seed

    UncleUncle3 ore fa
    • Then it would be considered a set seed

      HiHi2 ore fa
  • “watch this video is gonna end up on the youtube trending tab” *#1 ON TRENDING*

    Sisi • 27 years agoSisi • 27 years ago3 ore fa
  • It took you 5 minutes to get to the point and by the end of the video you didn’t even give a point

    J is EmptyJ is Empty3 ore fa
  • Flipping the coin 100 times. You get more opportunities to get heads.

    Kellan OgleKellan Ogle3 ore fa
  • Yep you did get on the trending tab

    Charlie WalkerCharlie Walker3 ore fa
  • i love matpat. BUT that's not the Jedi way so I must become sith.

    Connor DauzatConnor Dauzat3 ore fa
  • There were several issues to this video, first I will address MatPats final response, second I will address whether he cheated (he probably did). For his MatPats response to rng, it doesn’t matter, if he cheated to have better luck, he cheated. He made money off streams using a potentially hacked game, these streams made money and could have taken money away from people streaming legitimately, giving him an unfair advantage. This debate shouldn’t be philosophical, if you have a problem, discuss it, don’t use it as an excuse to cheat. For if he cheated, I would say he did. Generally, as someone learning college statistics, I think he overcomplicated it. Essentially, there were 2 variables that had unusually high luck, blaze rods and elder pearl trades. The data is collected from several runs. If you have a graphing calculator, you can do the math simply. Essentially, when doing the math with 2 binomial cdf functions combined, Dream got luck so high that there was only a 1 in 70 sextillion chance of getting luck that good or better over all of his runs. In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis. In this case, the null hypothesis is that Dream is not cheating. Overall, due to the probabilities, I would say dream is cheating One important thing to know about his cheating was that he didn’t cheat his gameplay, he cheated the probabilities. This means he didn’t cheat to get good runs, he cheated to get good runs faster. I understand why MatPat wasn’t so straight with his conclusion, Dream is probably and friend/acquaintance and he felt he couldn’t snub him, overall, the evidence in my opinion is strong enough to say Dream cheated. Also, one confusion that seems to be happening is the 1 in 100 million number, that is the probability anyone gets luck as good as him, just a generous number that at best says that this aphid a .000001% chance of happening to anyone, still enough to say someone is probably cheating.

    Lord Of PunsLord Of Puns3 ore fa
    • "I think he overcomplicated it" No... just no. Adding in points that are valid to the statistics is not overcomplicating it. Leaving out those points under-complicates it. "In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis." I'm sorry, but that's an extremely naive viewpoint.

      NoahNoah2 ore fa
  • I caught that Arbiter you snuck in there. 17:45

    BeanZ :PBeanZ :P3 ore fa
  • Milking views ic

    Audemar.Audemar.3 ore fa
  • lol he got #1 on trending.

    Cool boi 69Cool boi 693 ore fa
  • Literally found this video on the trending tab! LOL

    jacktrebel87jacktrebel873 ore fa
  • HOLY! This got number one on trending!

    Silent as a mouse, I am inside your house.Silent as a mouse, I am inside your house.3 ore fa
  • That was the most pretentious intro I’ve ever seen

    Marco PoloMarco Polo3 ore fa
  • Is Mario mental? He brings up Mario going after Donkey Kong, but, according to a different video of MatPat's, that was Jumpman, a completely different character from Mario.

    atoth62atoth623 ore fa
  • Just read that you don't really answer the question so I'm not gonna bother with this video.

    Mr. DeSomberMr. DeSomber3 ore fa
  • If it isnt about fnaf Mat Pat. It’s not a good video

    bah1605bah16053 ore fa
  • In a year where my teachers barely teach, but assign enough work to take up a weekend, I can confidently say GT videos have helped me get my curiosity back

    Pk Kevin67Pk Kevin673 ore fa
  • i like game thoery but wow this was a fantastic waste of my time.

    emerald_comicemerald_comic3 ore fa
  • You called it being on trending

    TristanDFUTristanDFU3 ore fa
  • Yes or No

    fabian ojedafabian ojeda3 ore fa
    • There is no way to tell unless dreams says that he cheated

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  • This was filmed in 2019 nobody is wearing a mask..

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  • POV:You looked up the start of game theory After The video

    Veron Alejandre ParaynoVeron Alejandre Parayno3 ore fa